Intel is finally preparing to begin shipping 10nm chips in large volumes. The company says it’s on track to ship its new 10nm “Ice Lake” processors for laptops starting in June, and we could see Ice Lake-powered computers in store shelves this fall.

It’s taken Intel a long time to get here though — for the better part of a decade, the company had adopted a “tick-tock” production model that resulted in a die shrink every year or two. But the company largely abandoned that model a few years ago, and has been stuck on 14nm since 2014 (aside from a few underpowered 10nm “Cannon Lake” chips that shipped last year).

So what happens next?

10nm in 2019

First of all, Intel will begin shipping 10nm chips this summer, starting with its Ice Lake chips for laptops. The company isn’t saying much about general compute performance, but Intel does promise a few significant improvements over previous-gen chips, including:

  • 2X faster graphics
  • 2X faster video transcoding
  • 2.5X to 3X faster AI performance
  • 3X faster wireless speeds

Intel also plans bring its previously-announced “Lakefield” processors to market, leveraging multiple chiplets together onto a single processor to offer reduced power consumption, better graphics, and a smaller physical package, allowing the chips to be used in thin-and-light machines.

Other upcoming 10nm chips include FPGA processors, AI chips, graphics processors, and a 5G-ready system-on-a-chip.

As for Tick-Tock, that’s dead. Intel expects to stick with its newer Process-Architecture-Optimization roadmap. So We can expect to see 10nm chips this year, 10nm+ chips next year and 10nm++ chips in 2021.

7nm in 2021

But if Intel can stick to its roadmap this time, we’ll also see the first 7nm chips from the company in 2021.

Intel expects these chips to offer 20 percent better performance-per-watt compared with the equivalent 10nm chips, while also being the first chips to use the company’s new EUV (extreme ultraviolet) lithography.

Like rival chip maker AMD, Intel’s first 7nm chips won’t actually be CPUs though. They’ll be graphics processors.

One difference is that AMD’s first 7nm GPUs are already available (if expensive), while Intel’s aren’t coming for a few more years. Another is that AMD’s 7nm Radeon Instinct GPUs are designed for data centers, while Intel says it’s upcoming 7nm GPU will be designed for general purpose use.

Discrete graphics in 2020

Speaking of which, Intel is reiterating that its first discrete GPU is coming next year. That was actually announced last summer, but it’s good to know the company is still on track.

Intel has been in the graphics business for a while thanks to the Intel HD integrated graphics that are part of the company’s mainstream processors. But starting next year, the company will begin going head-to-head-to-head with NVIDIA and AMD in the discrete graphics space with cards that could be used for gaming, rendering graphics, cryptocurrency mining, and other tasks that benefit from a dedicated GPU.

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5 replies on “Intel roadmap: 10nm chips in June, 7nm in 2021”

  1. Not using my laptop on battery power much, I really don’t care about this. We’re to the point where adequate processors don’t generate a lot of room heat, and that’s good enough for me.

    Process size is more a concern for my smartphone.

  2. I encourage all readers of these recent massive Intel paper campaigns to research AMDs Ryzen 3000 and EPYC Rome processors which are launching in one month.

    All of this Intel propaganda is designed to take your attention away from the fact that Intel has absolutely no legitimate response for the remainder of 2019 or for most of next year.

    The hardware community knows this. What the general laymen doesn’t realize is that 10nm processors from Intel in June will consist of a few dual and quad core low power laptop processors. Nothing significant in core count or performance for desktop, hedt, or server.

    Intel is about to get heavily leapfrogged in technology and performance and they will do everything they can to keep the world from knowing this, because they have nothing to stop it.

    1. Hopefully AMD has a new proper tile-based rasterization implemented for Navi. Their Polaris architecture, whilst on 16/12nm, still doesn’t match (let alone exceed) the performance AND power draw of Nvidia’s Maxwell lineup. If that happens, we’re looking at Pascal level of efficiency at a mass scale/price point.

      Hopefully, again, AMD has tuned Zen2 (Ryzen 3000) with proper increases in IPC. I know Intel still leads here from 1%-15% depending on the test (average around 8%). So if we see a 5% increase from AMD that will result in wins for several tests, few losses, but many ties with the Blue Giant. And all that with higher core count AND lower power draw.

      Then combine the best of both worlds and what do you get… PS5.

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